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Will 700Mhz auction change the US Mobile landscape?

Discussion in 'Wireless News' started by Fire14, Nov 15, 2007.

  1. Fire14

    Fire14 Easy,Cheap & Sleazy
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    700MHz Spectrum Auction Could Transform US Mobile Landscape

    The FCC auction of the 700MHz frequency band scheduled for January 2008 in the United States could have a profound effect on the landscape of the mobile communications market, according to a new study from ABI Research, by opening the door to a major new mobile operator. It will also be critical in the building of a national public safety communications network in the US.

    According to senior analyst Nadine Manjaro, “This auction means an opportunity for the licensing of another major national mobile operator, perhaps one from outside the traditional fold.” Yahoo!, Apple and Google have all been mentioned as potential bidders, but it is Google that should be taken most seriously: they have already stated their willingness to invest $5 billion in the “C” block of spectrum, perhaps in partnership with a network operator, in order to facilitate a more competitive wireless market.

    What are the implications for incumbents if a company such as Google enters this market? “If Google becomes an operator, it will intensify the incumbents’ need to compete,” says Manjaro. “Google has content and money, and could do a lot with that spectrum. They’d be a strong force to be reckoned with in terms of taking subscribers from the incumbents, especially from a company such Sprint, which is already facing challenges in this area.”

    The 700MHz band is a part of the UHF band (470 – 862MHz) which is being opened in several regions across the globe including Europe in 2010 and in Korea in 2012 as television moves from analog to digital. British regulator OFCOM also plans an auction for the UHF frequency, called the “Digital Dividend.” Regulators are leaning towards spectrum neutrality, which would let the market determine the ideal use of the spectrum, and are also looking to harmonize use of the spectrum. This band is suitable for 4G technologies such as WiMAX and mobile broadcast TV using technologies such as DVB-H.

    ABI Research’s new study, “Global Wireless Spectrum Issues: Market Opportunities and Implications” (Market Research | ABI Research Spectrum_Issues_Market_Opportunities_and_Implications)* provides a global perspective on all of the major spectrum initiatives currently under way, and their implications for vendors, regulators and operators. The report also addresses spectrum trading, mobile liberalization, technology neutrality and the latest developments in the satellite bands. It also covers globally harmonized bands for WiMAX.

    It forms part of two ABI Research Services, Mobile Operators (Services | ABI Research Research_Service), and Wireless Infrastructure (Services | ABI Research _Research_Service).
     
  2. RJB

    RJB Gold Senior Member
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    I for one cant wait for the bidding wars to start up on this
     
  3. TeleTips Network

    TeleTips Network Junior Member
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    I'm hoping for interesting job opportunities building a new wireless network. I've already worked on 8 mobile networks built from scratch, and building a new US nationwide network would be a tremendous challenge.
     
  4. MOTOhooligan

    MOTOhooligan Former Mobile Data Addict
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    After this auction Alltel will be one of the top three carriers in the US.

    Look for them to go huge for MSAs they lack and connecting markets for existing properties. Now that they've got the capital of the private investment firms behind them (or will soon, anyway) they're either going to blow the doors off the spectrum auction or buy another carrier.

    Maybe Sprint? :browani:
     
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  5. TeleTips Network

    TeleTips Network Junior Member
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    Interesting idea Alltel buying Sprint.

    Perhaps more likely takeover candidates could be found by looking at Alltel's existing coverage then doing an outer join with regional carriers. Revol, Pocket, Clear Talk, Mobi PCS could be in play
     
  6. larry

    larry Sprint loyalist and former mod
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    Does anyone honestly think a new national network could be built from scratch in this day and age where NIMBY"s are running wild and cities/counties have banned a lot of cell sites? In today's world you pretty much have to disguise any tower you build and that takes even more time and more money. Even if they could pull it off it would take years and years. How many years did it take the other carriers to do this? 10 or 15? I just don't see this as any big threat to the other carriers.
     
  7. RJB

    RJB Gold Senior Member
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    I dont think anyone here thinks that we are just thinking outside the box.
     
  8. TeleTips Network

    TeleTips Network Junior Member
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    in this day and age many mobile operators lease space from tower aggregators, so that completely new towers are not often required. A new mobile operators building a new wireless network would simply lease additional space on an existing tower for many of their new base stations. In such cases, generally no new zoning or permitting is required. Of course many deviations from this rule of thumb are to be expected.

    Having said that, I predict any spectrum auction winner building a new network will target to launch their service, at least in limited areas, within 15 months or less of winning the auction. Completing the network build-out certainly will take years. But any new carrier will try to initiate service as quickly as possible.
     
  9. larry

    larry Sprint loyalist and former mod
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    Well leasing space on existing towers sounds good on paper however many towers are already maxed out with carrier's or built too small for good co-location purposes. Go to Reno, NV for example and you'll be hard pressed to find any monopoles with less than 3 or 4 carriers. Plus in some markets there aren't a whole lot of freestanding towers, and sites are mounted on rooftops and disguised by other means. It's these type of areas that simply cannot be built out in just 15 months or even 3 years.

    Take Orange County and Los Angeles, CA for example. Metro PCS is the last carrier to come on here and they've pretty much taken up the exisiting room on any freestanding towers that weren't already maxed out. Any other carrier would have an even tougher time than Metro did and even they are lacking a lot of coverage here. They've been working at it since early 2005 and still have a long way to go.
     
  10. Simon5282

    Simon5282 Senior Member
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    So, how many bands will there be worldwide after everything is said and done? Now a days if you want a world phone, you need a quad band phone with 2100UMTS. What kind of phone will you need ten years from now to travel the world?
     
  11. TeleTips Network

    TeleTips Network Junior Member
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    You're right. I've also heard Metro is having a difficult time finding towers in the LA area.

    Another option on the horizon for BTS placement is Distributed Antenna Systems, DAS. I've heard of a DAS company that has partnered with a local utility with rights on utility poles. Only the antenna and power amplifier gets mounted on the utility pole, and then back-hauled via fiber to a Base Station Hotel, co-located with a backbone service provider. The pole-mounted components apparently require no permits or zoning. It's an interesting approach. The new mobile operators will have to be creative to get into service in under 15 months.
     
  12. larry

    larry Sprint loyalist and former mod
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    Yes Metro is having a difficult time in LA just like all of the other carriers did before them. Covering freeways is easy but once they try to cover tougher areas like Manhattan Beach or Beverly Hills where there are no monopoles to freeload off of they will have to come up with something else. That's why they chose to go with the unusual 6 sector azimuth route. I believe they are using the DAS system along some roads in Malibu but those things aren't really that great for RF or capacity from what I hear.
     
  13. RJB

    RJB Gold Senior Member
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    One that has 30 antennas
     
  14. TeleTips Network

    TeleTips Network Junior Member
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    The real advantage of DAS is time to market. If DAS allows the the zoning and permitting requirements to be waived the time from search ring to on-air should be greatly shortened. I suspect that is why a new operator might be interested in them.
     
  15. Fire14

    Fire14 Easy,Cheap & Sleazy
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    FCC relaxes requirements for public-safety spectrum

    THE FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION relaxed the small-business bidding rule for the 700 MHz national commercial/public-safety block, but the agency cannot seem to shake lingering legal challenges that have the potential to disrupt the upcoming auction—as well as last year’s sale of advanced wireless services licenses.

    The ruling is major victory for startup Frontline Wireless L.L.C., which has expressed strong interest in pursuing the D block and using a wholesale business model. A small business, or designated entity, is eligible for bidding discounts up to 25% as long as it does not wholesale more than 50% of its spectrum capacity. But for the D block, the FCC waived that provision, finding that unique circumstances, obligations of the D-block licensee and other factors made strict application of the rule unnecessary.

    “To encourage the widest range of potentially qualified applicants to participate in bidding for the D-block license, we enabled eligible bidders for this license to seek designated-entity bidding credits for small businesses, as a means to create incentives for investors to provide innovative small businesses with the capital necessary to compete for the D-block license at auction,” the commission stated.

    The filing window for short-form 700 MHz applications runs between Nov. 19 and Dec. 3.

    “This was a vital step needed to pave the way for small business participation in this auction by innovative new competitors such as Frontline who want to provide facilities-based wholesale services on a fully built out network,” the Silicon Valley-backed firm stated. “Because the D block carries unique obligations to meet public safety’s needs, including a 99.3% buildout requirement, no small business could vie for this spectrum—and build out a new-build, 4G network—except as a wholesaler.”

    Public safety outlines demands

    Public-safety groups last week released documents outlining technical and operational expectations for the national commercial/first-responder wireless broadband network. “The signs are excellent that we will have high-quality bidders [for the D block],” said Morgan O’Brien, chairman of Cyren Call Communications Corp. Cyren Call is advising the Public Safety Spectrum Trust, a leading candidate for the 700 MHz public-safety broadband license. The public-safety broadband licensee will negotiate a network-sharing agreement with the D-block winner. The FCC will arbitrate any deadlock between the two parties.

    Appeals court deadline

    Besides being the first day that 700 MHz short-form applications can be accepted, Nov. 19 is the deadline for the FCC to reply to a federal appeals court on why it has not ruled on a year-and-a-half-old regulatory challenge to DE rule changes adopted in advance of last year’s AWS auction.

    The 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in September threw out on procedural grounds an appeal of the agency’s DE decision. The appeal was filed by Council Tree Communications Inc., Bethel Native Corp. and the Minority Media and Telecommunications Council. But because the court did not address the merits of the case, the appeal—which could cause AWS auction results to be overturned and thereby throw 700 MHz bidding strategies into disarray—remains alive. The FCC contends it addressed issues raised in Council Tree’s petition for reconsideration in a ruling last year, even if it has not actually ruled on the petition itself. As such, the FCC wants the 3rd Circuit to revise its September decision such that language referring to Council Tree’s pending petition for reconsideration would be deleted.

    Council Tree and the others have asked that the 3rd Circuit—either the original three-judge panel or the full court—to rehear its appeal based on the arguments raised. The controversial rule revisions at issue extend DE license sale restrictions from five to 10 years and deny bidding credits to DEs that resell or lease more than 50% of their spectrum capacity.

    “We are encouraged by the court’s order directing the FCC to file an expedited response to our mandamus petition,” stated Council Tree. “We anticipate that the court will examine closely the reasons that the FCC has failed to comply, for more than 18 months, with its statutory obligation to rule definitively on the reconsideration petition filed by Council Tree, Bethel Native and MMTC. Following that review, we look for the court to compel the FCC to act, either granting or denying our reconsideration petition. And upon a formal FCC denial of our reconsideration petition, our case will again be immediately reviewable in the 3rd Circuit Court of Appeals.”

    Council Tree has appealed the 700 MHz decision as well, though the 3rd Circuit agreed to the FCC’s request to transfer the case to U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit.

    FCC relaxes requirements for public-safety spectrum - RCR Wireless News
     

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